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KMID : 0191120170320060999
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Journal of Korean Medical Science
2017 Volume.32 No. 6 p.999 ~ p.1008
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Daily Mean Temperature and Urolithiasis Presentation in Six Cities in Korea: Time-Series Analysis
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Chi Byung-Hoon
Chang In-Ho
Choi Se-Young
Suh Dong-Churl
Chang Chong-Won
Choi Yun-Jung
Lee Seo-Yeon
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Abstract
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Seasonal variation in urinary stone presentation is well described in the literature. However, previous studies have some limitations. To explore overall cumulative exposure-response and the heterogeneity in the relationships between daily meteorological factors and urolithiasis incidence in 6 major Korean cities, we analyzed data on 687,833 urolithiasis patients from 2009 to 2013 for 6 large cities in Korea: Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Gwangju, Daegu, and Busan. Using a time-series design and distributing lag nonlinear methods, we estimated the relative risk (RR) of mean daily urolithiasis incidence (MDUI) associated with mean daily meteorological factors, including the cumulative RR for a 20-day period. The estimated location-specific associations were then pooled using multivariate meta-regression models. A positive association was confirmed between MDUI and mean daily temperature (MDT), and a negative association was shown between MDUI and mean daily relative humidity (MDRH) in all cities. The lag effect was within 5 days. The multivariate Cochran Q test for heterogeneity at MDT was 12.35 (P = 0.136), and the related I2 statistic accounted for 35.2% of the variability. Additionally, the Cochran Q test for heterogeneity and I2 statistic at MDHR were 26.73 (P value = 0.148) and 24.7% of variability in the total group. Association was confirmed between daily temperature, relative humidity and urolithiasis incidence, and the differences in urolithiasis incidence might have been partially attributable to the different frequencies and the ranges in temperature and humidity between cities in Korea.
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KEYWORD
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Urolithiasis, Temperature, Humidity, Time-Series Analysis
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